what we do

Our focus is on the development of proprietary geodesic models that characterize the behavior of leveraged long/short ETFs in pairs trades using first principles of Hamilton-Lagrange-Euler mechanics. Because of tracking errors & daily compounding phenomena, equal weightings of leveraged ETFs in a pairs trade are virtually never 50-50. Daily data & graphics will show subscribers where neutral pair weightings have moved along the path of the pairs geodesic thereby providing multiple market direction & re-balance indicators.

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Monday, April 20, 2009

SDS-SSO subscriber update - April 20, 2009

Dear Service Subscriber,

  • thank you again for subscribing to the S&P 500 long/short ETF Model and welcome to all new members that just joined. the latest analysis is available for download. today's filename is: SDS-vs-SSO-20090420-subscriber.xls
  • if you ever misplace your login, i can send your info if you email me a message from the original email address you provided when subscribing through paypal.
  • visit the blog for an archive of all subscriber updates and alerts. the archive is searchable and comments can be posted as well.

Today's Commentary

the spreadsheet now contains only PID neutral and aggressive scenarios for the SDS-SSO model. i'm still filling in the gaps in terms of formatting the data and generating charts right from the data in the spreadsheet. i've inserted graphics objects exported from the master spreadsheet so you have the latest visuals in the meantime.

i'm calling this release beta 2.0 indicating all performance scenarios are compiled using PID controls as the primary indicator for re-balancing. the model has indicated a re-balance on APR-16 when PID crossed from positive to negative. the previous tuning chart showed PID right at zero on APR-17. after double checking the data source fields i realized i did not have the x-axis dates matched with the right row of PID data. sorry about that. we have been in bear territory since last thursday.

as usual the neutral weights are included in the spreadsheet so you can decide which way you want to balance your pair relative to neutral. once i get your spreadsheet situated, i plan to pick up where i left off on a list of tasks i want to complete indicated in a previous update earlier this month. one more task i want to include in the users guide task is a section on how i use my model at 2 different online brokers. Interactive Brokers is one which is typical of most. FolioFn is the other broker which offers a proprietary trading platform in addition to being able to trade using limit orders, stop loss etc. both brokers are very efficient at executing orders and i use them both to manage SEP-IRA accounts of mine using the very same models you subscribe to. but using the FolioFn proprietary trading platform offers unique synergies.

as usual, be cautious and let's see what happens to the market this week with timothy geitner on-deck tomorrow to shake the markets one way or another. this whole thing with the TARP and stipulating conversion of bank shares the governments own from preferred to common is another game changer mid-stream making the market uneasy with how to interpret what the government intends on doing. a slew of earnings are getting posted this week and some interesting M&A continues in the pharma & the tech universe.
best regards,
mike james

Managing Member
Equity Informatics, LLC
phone:302-220-3864

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Disclaimer

Equity Informatics is a developer and service provider of proprietary financial equity pricing models & trading methods. The company familiarizes subscribers with the basic thesis of our models, provides subscribers with daily neutral pair weightings and methodologies on how to use the data as intended. subscribers shall not share any information obtained from equity informatics with any other party. use of these services are granted only to and intended for the benefit of the subscriber. Equity Informatics does not offer the sale of equities nor do our trading models constitute trading advise. It is incumbent on potential clients to perform due diligence and seek a professional financial adviser to help you determine whether subscribing to the company's services are suitable for your financial situation and level of risk. No guarentees of performance are expressly or implicitly offered nor does Equity Informatics guarantee the accuracy of market information used to provide model data to our client. equity informatics does not assume responsibility for lost principal, lost gains or tax consequences.

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