what we do

Our focus is on the development of proprietary geodesic models that characterize the behavior of leveraged long/short ETFs in pairs trades using first principles of Hamilton-Lagrange-Euler mechanics. Because of tracking errors & daily compounding phenomena, equal weightings of leveraged ETFs in a pairs trade are virtually never 50-50. Daily data & graphics will show subscribers where neutral pair weightings have moved along the path of the pairs geodesic thereby providing multiple market direction & re-balance indicators.

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Monday, August 24, 2009

S&P 500 Model Update - August 24, 2009

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Today's Commentary

previous model indication: bearish on the S&P 500 since 2009-08-17
current model indication: bullish on the S&P 500 as of 2009-08-21

last week was on of the shortest bearish calls in time i can remember. the only day down was monday which precipitated the bearish signal but then the remainder of the week was - buy, buy, buy!





note how the angular velocity parameter pulled back, relieving pressure from going to the downside. today's (8-24-2009) action, though not down to the extent as last monday, was a bit ominous. at one point the S&P 500 was up 1% or so and then a midday selloff took the index right back to unchanged for the day. no matter how small, midday reversals are not helpful to the bullish mentality. the fed's purchase of treasuries may have had the biggest influence in equities today. in addition, as the market has been going up, investors are stopping along the way to buy protection in the form of bonds & put options.

disclosure: in my pairs trade i am weighted 95% spy & 5% sh. this is couterweighted with an accululating position in TLT, TLO TLH, IEF, IEI, BIV, BND & TIP.

best regards,
mike james

Managing Member
Equity Informatics, LLC
phone:302-220-3864

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Equity Informatics is a developer and service provider of proprietary financial equity pricing models & trading methods. The company familiarizes subscribers with the basic thesis of our models, provides subscribers with daily neutral pair weightings and methodologies on how to use the data as intended. subscribers shall not share any information obtained from equity informatics with any other party. use of these services are granted only to and intended for the benefit of the subscriber. Equity Informatics does not offer the sale of equities nor do our trading models constitute trading advise. It is incumbent on potential clients to perform due diligence and seek a professional financial adviser to help you determine whether subscribing to the company's services are suitable for your financial situation and level of risk. No guarentees of performance are expressly or implicitly offered nor does Equity Informatics guarantee the accuracy of market information used to provide model data to our client. equity informatics does not assume responsibility for lost principal, lost gains or tax consequences.

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